In regions characterized by extreme cold and elevated altitudes, notably in the northwest, the mechanical characteristics of construction materials such as Ultra-High Performance Concrete (UHPC) are critically impacted by ambient temperatures. This study investigates the mechanical properties of UHPC subjected to low-temperature curing environments, conducting uni-axial compressive and splitting tensile strength tests on UHPC specimens, which comprise water, dry mix, and steel fibers. These specimens were cured at varied temperatures (-10℃, -5℃, 5℃, 10℃). Utilizing damage theory principles, the loss rate in compressive strength of UHPC post-curing was quantified as a damage indicator, revealing internal degradation. A predictive model for damage under low-temperature maintenance was developed, grounded in the two-parameter Weibull probability distribution and empirical damage models. Parameter estimation for this model was achieved through the least squares method, informed by experimental data. The findings indicate a rapid increase in UHPC’s mechanical strength at all curing temperatures, with 7-day strength achieving approximately 90% of its 28-day counterpart. A positive correlation was observed between the mechanical strength of UHPC, curing temperature, and age. Despite a reduction in mechanical strength due to low-temperature curing, UHPC was found to attain anticipated strength levels suitable for construction in cold environments. The proposed model for predicting UHPC damage under low-temperature conditions demonstrated efficacy in estimating the strength loss rate, thereby offering substantial technical support for UHPC’s application in northwest regions.