Javascript is required
Search
Volume 4, Issue 3, 2025

Abstract

Full Text|PDF|XML
To address the challenge of limited photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting accuracy, which is primarily attributed to the significant impacts of abrupt weather changes and the strong non-stationarity of PV power time series, this paper proposes a multi-scale PV power forecasting model based on modified Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN) and a hybrid neural network. First, key meteorological features including solar irradiance and ambient temperature are screened via the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), and the K-means clustering algorithm is adopted to construct three weather scenario datasets for sunny, cloudy, and rainy days, which effectively mitigates cross-scenario data distribution discrepancy. Second, the noise standard deviation and number of decomposition layers of the ICEEMDAN are dynamically optimized using the Dream Optimization Algorithm (DOA), achieving optimal modal decomposition and stationarization reconstruction of PV time series features. Subsequently, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is utilized to deeply extract the periodic and trend characteristics embedded in the time series, which is combined with the multi-head attention mechanism from the Transformer architecture to effectively capture dynamic correlation information in the global time dimension. Finally, extensive experimental results demonstrate that the proposed PV forecasting method exhibits significant outperformance in both computational efficiency and forecasting accuracy under various weather conditions compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Abstract

Full Text|PDF|XML

This study examines the implications of replacing the Italian vehicle fleet with electric vehicles powered exclusively through fast and slow charging. The purpose is to quantify the additional electrical energy and peak charging power required, and to assess their compatibility with the present characteristics of major European electricity systems. The methodology combines national mobility statistics, estimated charging demand profiles, and empirical scaling factors derived from refuelling infrastructure to determine both annual energy requirements and instantaneous power needs. The analysis indicates that full fleet electrification for night-only charging would increase national electricity consumption by approximately 40–50%, a substantial yet potentially manageable rise in annual energy consumption. By contrast, the charging power needed to support large-scale fast charging reaches values close to 280 gigawatts, far exceeding the peak loads currently managed by existing transmission networks. This peak requirement is nearly five times higher than the present Italian maximum demand and surpasses, by large margins, the peak values recorded in comparable European systems. The results indicate that the principal challenge of transport electrification lies in accommodating extremely concentrated power demand within limited temporal windows. The conclusions emphasize the need for substantial upgrades to transmission and distribution networks, complemented by the widespread adoption of controlled slow charging and demand-shifting strategies that can help reduce peak loads. These findings suggest that the feasibility of large-scale vehicle electrification hinges critically on managing instantaneous power rather than total energy, underscoring the importance of coordinating infrastructure planning, regulatory frameworks, and charging behavior to ensure that electric mobility can be integrated into existing power systems without compromising stability or reliability.

Open Access
Research article
Multi-Criteria Selection of Chitosan-Derived Biodegradable Polymer Composites for Sustainable Energy-Storage Applications
chintaharan majumder ,
arpan kool ,
arup ratan dey ,
krishanu chatterjee ,
chiranjib bhowmik
|
Available online: 09-30-2025

Abstract

Full Text|PDF|XML

The goal of the present work is to evaluate and select the optimum chitosan-based biodegradable biopolymer composite for energy storage devices for sustainable planning. In this study, “sustainable planning” is specifically addressed at the material selection stage, focusing on the identification of biodegradable and environmentally benign polymer composites that reduce long-term ecological impact and electronic waste generation. The proposed model therefore supports early-stage sustainable design decisions without requiring a full life-cycle assessment. To assess the options—pure chitosan and chitosan modified with different weight percent (10%, 20% and 30%) of 2,6-pyridinedicarboxylic acid; the study offers an integrated multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach called TOPSIS. The entropy approach is used to overcome the impreciseness of eliciting judgments in the preferences of criteria since information pertaining to material attributes is always imprecise. The best sources are then chosen using the TOPSIS approach. According to the results, alternating current (AC) conductivity (40 Hz) is the most important criterion, and chitosan–2,6-pyridinedicarboxylic acid (CPCA) 20 is the best option with the greatest score value. The robustness of the proposed methodology is further demonstrated by sensitivity analysis.

Open Access
Review article
Water Desalination for Underground Shelters: A Comprehensive Literature Review
abdelrahman ashraf kandel ,
abdelrahman hisham el naggar ,
atef atef abdelrahman ,
esraa mamdouh abbas ,
ibrahim ahmed ibrahim ,
muhanad hany hamed ,
salem alaa eldin salem ,
mostafa shawky abdelmoez
|
Available online: 09-30-2025

Abstract

Full Text|PDF|XML
This paper tackles the coupled challenges of water availability and energy resources as key factors for the sustainability of autonomy of underground shelters, specifically emphasizing remote and post-disaster areas where infrastructure cannot be easily accessed. The paper offers an organized compilation of the most current developments from the literature regarding desalination processes, specifically energy-based desalination systems suitable for underground environments. The compilation of the current developments covered studies conducted mainly from 2019 to 2024 and included various desalination processes such as thermal, membrane, and hybrid, as well as newer processes using waste heat and/or Small Modular Reactors (SMRs). The review examines the operational profiles, energy requirements, and sustainability aspects of such technologies in an underground environment characterized by limited space, poor ventilation, issues related to brine disposal, and the need for a stable and efficient energy delivery system. Particular attention has been given to nuclear-assisted hybrid system designs that could use electrical power and waste heat together in such a manner that the aggregate energy efficiency of the system could be improved. Instead of proposing a new concept, the present review article aims at compiling existing knowledge that could explain how optimal energy use & waste heat recovery might be utilized in an underground shelter for the generation of freshwater. The paper ends with an analysis related to the most pertinent technical issues and research gaps with regard to energy efficiency, the integration of waste heat, and the issue of energy autonomy that must be dealt with to make sustainably implemented SMR-powered underground desalination plants possible.
Open Access
Research article
Long-Term Statistical Modelling of Near-Surface Wind Speed in Abuja, Nigeria Using Skewed Probability Distribution
Enock Amao ,
francis olatunbosun aweda ,
alhaji yakubu usman ,
kayode oyeniyi oyedoja
|
Available online: 09-30-2025

Abstract

Full Text|PDF|XML

Reliable characterisation of wind speed variability is essential for assessing wind energy potential, particularly in regions where low-speed regimes dominate and resource uncertainty is high. In this study, long-term near-surface wind speed behaviour in Abuja, Nigeria, was statistically modelled using 46 years (1980–2025) of monthly mean Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis data at a height of 10 m above ground level. Descriptive statistical properties, including mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis, were first evaluated to characterise distributional features and deviations from Gaussian behaviour. Three skewed probability density functions (PDFs)—Weibull, Gamma, and Lognormal distributions—were subsequently fitted using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and the Method of Moments (MOM). Model performance was assessed through graphical and statistical diagnostics, including probability density histograms, quantile–quantile (Q-Q) plots, and Cullen–Frey skewness–kurtosis analysis, enabling comparative evaluation of tail behaviour and modal structure. The wind regime in Abuja was found to be relatively stable and dominated by low wind speeds, with the principal mode located between 1.5 and 2.0 m/s. Approximately 80% of observed wind speeds were below 2.2 m/s, indicating a persistent low-energy environment. The Weibull and Gamma distributions provided the most accurate representation of the empirical data, successfully capturing the moderate positive skewness, limited tail extent, and weak bimodal tendency. In contrast, the Lognormal distribution systematically overestimated probability density at lower wind speed intervals and exhibited poorer agreement in upper quantiles. These findings demonstrate that skewed distribution modelling significantly improves representation of low-speed wind regimes and highlight the importance of site-specific statistical parameterisation for wind resource assessment in semi-arid Sub-Saharan environments. The results provide a robust statistical basis for wind energy feasibility analysis, micro-siting considerations, and hybrid renewable system design in regions characterised by marginal wind resources.

- no more data -