Reliable characterisation of wind speed variability is essential for assessing wind energy potential, particularly in regions where low-speed regimes dominate and resource uncertainty is high. In this study, long-term near-surface wind speed behaviour in Abuja, Nigeria, was statistically modelled using 46 years (1980–2025) of monthly mean Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis data at a height of 10 m above ground level. Descriptive statistical properties, including mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis, were first evaluated to characterise distributional features and deviations from Gaussian behaviour. Three skewed probability density functions (PDFs)—Weibull, Gamma, and Lognormal distributions—were subsequently fitted using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and the Method of Moments (MOM). Model performance was assessed through graphical and statistical diagnostics, including probability density histograms, quantile–quantile (Q-Q) plots, and Cullen–Frey skewness–kurtosis analysis, enabling comparative evaluation of tail behaviour and modal structure. The wind regime in Abuja was found to be relatively stable and dominated by low wind speeds, with the principal mode located between 1.5 and 2.0 m/s. Approximately 80% of observed wind speeds were below 2.2 m/s, indicating a persistent low-energy environment. The Weibull and Gamma distributions provided the most accurate representation of the empirical data, successfully capturing the moderate positive skewness, limited tail extent, and weak bimodal tendency. In contrast, the Lognormal distribution systematically overestimated probability density at lower wind speed intervals and exhibited poorer agreement in upper quantiles. These findings demonstrate that skewed distribution modelling significantly improves representation of low-speed wind regimes and highlight the importance of site-specific statistical parameterisation for wind resource assessment in semi-arid Sub-Saharan environments. The results provide a robust statistical basis for wind energy feasibility analysis, micro-siting considerations, and hybrid renewable system design in regions characterised by marginal wind resources.