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Acadlore Transactions on Applied Mathematics and Statistics
ATAIML
Acadlore Transactions on Applied Mathematics and Statistics (ATAMS)
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ISSN (print): 2959-4057
ISSN (online): 2959-4065
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2024: Vol. 2
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Acadlore Transactions on Applied Mathematics and Statistics (ATAMS) is dedicated to advancing research in the fields of applied mathematics and statistics. Highlighting the pivotal role of mathematical methodologies and statistical techniques in diverse real-world applications, ATAMS strives to decode the complexities underpinning these domains. Published quarterly by Acadlore, this peer-reviewed, open access journal typically issues its editions in March, June, September, and December each year.

  • Professional Service - Every article submitted undergoes an intensive yet swift peer review and editing process, adhering to the highest publication standards.

  • Prompt Publication - Thanks to our proficiency in orchestrating the peer-review, editing, and production processes, all accepted articles see rapid publication.

  • Open Access - Every published article is instantly accessible to a global readership, allowing for uninhibited sharing across various platforms at any time.

Editor(s)-in-chief(2)
bisera andrić gušavac
University of Belgrade, Serbia
bisera.andric.gusavac@fon.bg.ac.rs | website
Research interests: Mathematical Modelling; Optimization; Industrial Engineering; Performance Analytics
milena popović
University of Belgrade, Serbia
milena.popovic@fon.bg.ac.rs | website
Research interests: Data Envelopment Analysis; Quantitative Models and Methods; Mathematical Modelling; Optimization; Business Analytics and Performance Analytics

Aims & Scope

Aims

Acadlore Transactions on Applied Mathematics and Statistics (ATAMS) stands as an academic beacon in the realms of applied mathematics and statistics, illuminating the academic horizon with profound insights. Designed to serve as a nexus for the global community of researchers, scholars, and professionals, ATAMS is committed to showcasing groundbreaking research articles, in-depth reviews, and technical notes that span the myriad intersections of mathematical applications and statistical methodologies.

As modern challenges beckon innovative solutions, the journal's core revolves around the transformative potential of mathematical and statistical theories. These theories, often intricately woven into sectors ranging from engineering to economics, physical to social sciences, form the fabric of contemporary advancements. ATAMS champions not just the formulation of avant-garde mathematical models but ardently promotes their practical applications, solving real-world conundrums.

Holding the torch of academic excellence, ATAMS seeks manuscripts that redefine boundaries, stir intellectual curiosity, and instigate meaningful discussions. By fostering a milieu of interdisciplinary dialogues and collaborative ventures, the journal becomes an academic crucible where theories meld and ideas crystallize.

Advocating for exhaustive explorations, ATAMS believes in unbridled knowledge dissemination. Consequently, there are no confines on the length of contributions. Authors are encouraged to elucidate with thoroughness, ensuring the replicability of their findings. Distinctive features of the journal encompass:

  • A commitment to equitable academic services, ensuring authors, irrespective of their geographical origins, receive unparalleled support.

  • An agile review mechanism that underpins academic rigor, paired with expedited post-approval publication timelines.

  • An expansive reach, powered by the journal's open access directive, ensuring research resonates globally.

Scope

In its pursuit of academic breadth and depth, ATAMS's scope is vast, intricately designed to cover the spectrum of applied mathematics and statistics. It includes:

  • Mathematical Modeling: A comprehensive exploration into how mathematical methods are tailored to describe, forecast, and resolve intricate real-world challenges, ranging from ecological systems to intricate urban planning.

  • Statistical Theory and Innovations: This section doesn't just introduce novel statistical methods but critically evaluates their properties, potential pitfalls, and adaptability in diverse scenarios. It shines light on emerging trends and their applicability in new domains.

  • Data Synthesis and Mining: Beyond just extraction, the focus here is on the holistic lifecycle of data. It delves into methods for preprocessing, transformation, deep analysis, interpretation, and the eventual representation of data to ensure informed decision-making.

  • Advanced Numerical Computations: Celebrating the confluence of pure mathematics, algorithm design, and computational sciences, this segment highlights the latest strides in numerical methods, iterative techniques, and high-performance computing applications.

  • Interdisciplinary Matrix: This isn't just a cursory glance but a deep dive. From the precision required in financial mathematics, the sensitivity of medical statistics, the predictive power of biostatistics, to the large-scale implications of environmental statistics, this section covers it all.

  • Probabilistic Systems and Stochastic Analysis: Investigate the realms of randomness and uncertainty, dissecting how probabilistic models and stochastic methodologies can offer insights in fields as varied as finance, quantum mechanics, and epidemiology.

  • Optimization Techniques: Be it linear programming, dynamic optimization, or the newer realms of quantum optimization, this domain touches upon the algorithms and strategies that strive for perfection, ensuring resources are utilized to their utmost potential.

  • Time Series Analysis and Forecasting: Engage with the rhythmic dance of data over time, understanding patterns, anomalies, and making informed predictions about future behaviors, critical for sectors like finance, meteorology, and even social sciences.

  • Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence: In this age of automation and intelligence, understand the mathematical underpinnings of ML algorithms, neural network design, and the statistical validations that ensure AI operates within expected paradigms.

  • Graph Theory and Network Analysis: From social networks, biological pathways to the vast world wide web, delve into the intricate patterns, connectivity issues, and the cascading effects within networks.

Articles
Recent Articles
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Abstract

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In the field of graph theory, the exploration of connectivity patterns within various graph families is paramount. This study is dedicated to the examination of the neighbourhood degree-based topological index, a quantitative measure devised to elucidate the structural complexities inherent in diverse graph families. An initial overview of existing topological indices sets the stage for the introduction of the mathematical formulation and theoretical underpinnings of the neighbourhood degree-based index. Through meticulous analysis, the efficacy of this index in delineating unique connectivity patterns and structural characteristics across graph families is demonstrated. The utility of the neighbourhood degree-based index extends beyond theoretical graph theory, finding applicability in network science, chemistry, and social network analysis, thereby underscoring its interdisciplinary relevance. By offering a novel perspective on topological indices and their role in deciphering complex network structures, this research makes a significant contribution to the advancement of graph theory. The findings not only underscore the versatility of the neighbourhood degree-based topological index but also highlight its potential as a tool for understanding connectivity patterns in a wide array of contexts. This comprehensive analysis not only enriches the theoretical landscape of graph descriptors but also paves the way for practical applications in various scientific domains, illustrating the profound impact of graph theoretical studies on understanding the intricacies of networked systems.

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Inducing variables are the parameters or conditions that influence the membership value of an element in a fuzzy set. These variables are often linguistic in nature and represent qualitative aspects of the problem. Thus, the objective of this paper is introduce some aggregation operators based on inducing variable, such as induced complex Polytopic fuzzy ordered weighted averaging aggregation operator (I-CPoFOWAAO) and induced complex Polytopic fuzzy hybrid averaging aggregation operator (I-CPoFHAAO). Induced aggregation operators in decision-making process are indispensable tools for managing uncertainty, integrating multiple criteria, facilitating consensus, and providing a formal and flexible framework for modeling and solving complex decision problems. At the end of the paper, we make an illustrative example to prove the ability and efficiency of the novel proposed aggregation operators.

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In this investigation, the exact formulas for geometric-harmonic (GH), neighborhood geometric-harmonic (NGH), harmonic-geometric (HG), and neighborhood harmonic-geometric (NHG) indices were systematically evaluated for hyaluronic acid-curcumin (HAC) and hyaluronic acid-paclitaxel (HAP) conjugates. Through this evaluation, a comprehensive quantitative assessment was conducted to elucidate the structural characteristics of these conjugates, highlighting the intricate geometric and harmonic relationships present within their molecular graphs. The study leveraged these indices to illuminate the complex interplay between geometric and harmonic properties, providing a novel perspective on the molecular architecture of HAC and HAP conjugates. This analytical approach not only sheds light on the structural nuances of these compounds but also offers a unique lens through which their potential in drug delivery applications can be assessed. Graphical analyses of the results further enhance the understanding of these molecular properties, presenting a detailed visualization that complements the quantitative findings. The integration of these topological descriptors into the study of HAC and HAP conjugates represents a significant advance in the field of medicinal chemistry, offering valuable insights for researchers engaged in the development of innovative drug delivery systems. The findings underscore the utility of these descriptors in characterizing the molecular topology of complex conjugates, setting the stage for further exploration of their applications in therapeutic contexts.

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This study introduces an advanced framework for picture fuzzy linear programming problems (PFLPP), deploying picture fuzzy numbers (PFNs) to articulate diverse parameters. Integral to this approach are the three cardinal membership functions: membership, neutral, and non-membership, each contributing distinctly to the formation of the PFLPP. Emphasis is placed on employing these degrees to formulate the PFLPP in its most unadulterated form. Furthermore, the research delineates a novel optimization model, tailored specifically for the resolution of the PFLPP. A meticulous case study, accompanied by a numerical example, is presented, demonstrating the efficacy and robustness of the proposed methodology. The study culminates in a comprehensive discussion of the findings, highlighting pivotal insights and delineating potential avenues for future inquiry. This exploration not only advances the theoretical underpinnings of picture fuzzy sets but also offers practical implications for the application of linear programming in complex decision-making scenarios.

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In the realm of decision-making, the delineation of uncertainty and ambiguity within data is a pivotal challenge. This study introduces a novel approach through complex intuitive hesitant fuzzy sets (CIHFS), which offers a unique multidimensional perspective for data analysis. The CIHFS framework is predicated on the concept that membership degrees reside within the unit disc of the complex plane, thereby providing a more nuanced representation of data. This method stands apart in its ability to simultaneously process and analyze data in a two-dimensional format, incorporating additional descriptive elements known as phase terms into the membership degrees. The study is bifurcated into two primary phases. Initially, a possibility degree measure is proposed, facilitating the ranking of numerical values within the CIHFS context. Subsequently, the development of innovative operational rules and aggregation operators (AOs) is undertaken. These AOs are instrumental in amalgamating diverse options within a CIHFS framework. The research dissects and deliberates on various AOs, including weighted average (WA), ordered weighted average (OWA), weighted geometric (WG), ordered weighted geometric (OWG), hybrid average (HA), and hybrid geometric (HG). Furthermore, the study extends to the realm of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM), where it proposes a methodology utilizing intricate intuitive and fuzzy information. This methodology emphasizes the objective management of weights, thereby enhancing the decision-making process. The study's findings hold significant implications for the optimization of resources and decision-making strategies, providing a robust framework for the application of CIHFS in practical scenarios.
Open Access
Research article
Stochastic Dynamics and Extinction Time in SIR Epidemiological Models
rachid el chaal ,
said bouchefra ,
moulay othman aboutafail
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Available online: 12-30-2023

Abstract

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In the realm of epidemiological modeling, the intricacies of epidemic dynamics are elucidated through the lens of compartmental models, with the SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) and its variant, the SIS (Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible) model, being pivotal. This investigation delves into both deterministic and stochastic frameworks, casting the SIR model as a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) in stochastic settings. Such an approach facilitates simulations via Gillespie's algorithm and integration of stochastic differential equations. The latter are formulated through a bivariate Fokker-Planck equation, originating from the continuous limit of the master equation. A focal point of this study is the distribution of extinction time, specifically, the duration until recovery in a population with an initial count of infected individuals. This distribution adheres to a Gumbel distribution, viewed through the prism of a birth and death process. The stochastic analysis reveals several insights: firstly, the SIR model as a CTMC encapsulates random fluctuations in epidemic dynamics. Secondly, stochastic simulation methods, either through Gillespie's algorithm or stochastic differential equations, offer a robust exploration of disease spread variability. Thirdly, the precision of modeling is enhanced by the incorporation of a bivariate Fokker-Planck equation. Fourthly, understanding the Gumbel distribution of extinction time is crucial for gauging recovery periods. Lastly, the non-linear nature of the SIR model, when analyzed stochastically, enriches the comprehension of epidemic dynamics. These findings bear significant implications for epidemic mitigation and recovery strategies, informing healthcare resource planning, vaccine deployment optimization, implementation of social distancing measures, public communication strategies, and swift responses to epidemic resurgences.

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In the realm of emergency response, where time and information constraints are paramount, and scenarios often involve high levels of toxicity and uncertainty, the effective management of industrial control systems (ICS) is critical. This study introduces novel methodologies for enhancing decision-making processes in emergency situations, specifically focusing on ICS-security. Central to this research is the employment of spherical hesitant fuzzy soft set (SHFSS), a concept that thrives in the presence of ambiguity and incomplete information. The research adopts and extends the parametric families of t-norms and t-conorms, as introduced by Yager, to analyze these sets. This approach is instrumental in addressing multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) problems within the ICS-security domain. To this end, four distinct aggregation operators (AOs) are proposed: spherical hesitant fuzzy soft yager weighted averaging aggregation, spherical hesitant fuzzy soft yager ordered weighted averaging aggregation, spherical hesitant fuzzy soft yager weighted geometric aggregation, and spherical hesitant fuzzy soft yager ordered weighted geometric aggregation. These operators are tailored to harness the operational benefits of Yager's parametric families, thereby offering a robust framework for dealing with decision-making problems under uncertainty. Further, an algorithm specifically designed for MADM is presented, which integrates these AOs. The efficacy and precision of the proposed methodology are demonstrated through a numerical example, applied in the context of an ICS security supplier. This example serves as a testament to the superiority of the approach in handling complex decision-making scenarios inherent in ICS-security management.

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In contemporary military contexts, the determination of an optimal course of action (COA) in combat operations emerges as a critical challenge. This study delineates a decision support methodology for military applications, employing sophisticated decision analysis techniques. The initial phase entails the identification of pivotal criteria for assessing and ranking COAs, followed by the assignment of weight coefficients to each criterion via the full consistency method (FUCOM). Subsequently, the Einstein weighted arithmetic average operator (EWAA) was utilized for the aggregation of expert opinions, ensuring a consensual evaluation of these criteria and culminating in the final values of their weight coefficients. The ensuing phase focuses on the selection of an optimal COA, incorporating the grey complex proportional assessment (COPRAS-G) method. This method addresses uncertainties and varying criterion values. Expert ratings were again aggregated using the EWAA operator. The findings from this phase are designed to provide military commanders with precise, data-driven guidance for decision-making. To validate and verify the stability of the proposed model, a series of tests were conducted, including a rank reversal test, sensitivity analysis regarding changes in weight coefficients, and a comparative analysis with alternative methods. These assessments uniformly indicated the model's consistency, stability, and validity as a military decision support tool. Emphasizing a high degree of confidence in COA selection, the methodology advocated herein is applicable to decision-making processes in the planning and execution of military operations. The uniform application of professional terms, consistent with the broader context of this research, ensures clarity and coherence in its presentation. The approach outlined in this study stands as a testament to rigorous analytical methodologies in the realm of military strategic planning, offering a robust framework for decision-making under conditions of uncertainty and complexity.

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In the realm of financial markets, the manifestation of volatility clustering serves as a pivotal element, indicative of the inherent fluctuations characterizing financial instruments. This attribute acquires pronounced relevance within the sphere of cryptocurrencies, a sector renowned for its elevated risk profile. The present analysis, conducted through the Autoregressive Moving Average - Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARMA-GARCH) model, seeks to elucidate the enduring nature of volatility clustering and the occurrence of leverage effects within this domain. Over the course of a four-year time frame, it was observed that Bitcoin diverges from the anticipated Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) effects, in contrast to Ethereum and Cardano, which exhibit marked volatility clustering. Binance Coin, Ripple, and Dogecoin, whilst demonstrating moderate clustering, uniformly reflect the existence of leverage effects. An exception to this pattern was identified in Ripple, where it was discerned that positive market news exerts a disproportionate influence on log returns. The findings of this study illuminate the critical influence of both leverage effects and volatility clustering on the pricing dynamics of cryptocurrencies. It underscores the imperative for a nuanced comprehension of risk management in the context of cryptocurrency investments, given their susceptibility to abrupt price fluctuations. The distinct degrees to which these phenomena are manifested across diverse cryptocurrencies accentuate the necessity for a tailored risk management approach, resonant with the unique attributes of the asset in question. Such strategies, accounting for the potential amplification of losses through leverage, may encompass prudent position sizing, portfolio diversification, and the implementation of stress tests, thereby fortifying the investment against the dual perils of volatility clustering and leverage effects. The implications of this analysis serve to inform investors, providing a foundation upon which to construct risk management tactics that are responsive to the idiosyncrasies of the cryptocurrency market.

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In the present investigation, the phenomena of multi-scale volatility spillovers and dynamic hedging within the Chinese stock market are scrutinized, with particular emphasis on the implications of structural breaks. The decomposition of the returns from the CSI 300 and Hang sheng index’ spot and futures is achieved through the application of the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT), categorizing the data into three distinct temporal scales: short-term, medium-term, and long-term. An enhancement upon the conventional VAR-BEKK-GARCH (Vector Autoregressive - Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner - Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) model is proposed, yielding the asymmetric VAR-BEKK-GARCH Model (VAR-BEKK-AGARCH), which adeptly integrates the structural break of return volatility. A comprehensive analysis is conducted to elucidate the interactions and spillovers between the CSI 300 and Hang Seng Index, as well as their respective spot and futures markets, across the various identified time scales. Concurrently, a dynamic hedging portfolio, comprised of index spot and futures, is meticulously constructed, with its performance rigorously evaluated under the influence of the different time scales. To ensure the robustness and validity of the findings, wavelet coherence and phase difference methodologies are employed as verification tools. The results unequivocally reveal a heterogeneity in the behavior of mean spillover, volatility spillover, and asymmetric spillovers between the spot and futures markets of the CSI 300 and Hang Seng Index across the diverse scales. The inclusion of a structural break in the dynamic hedge portfolio is demonstrated to confer a marked advantage over its counterpart that omits this critical factor. Particularly in the short and medium-term scenarios, the dynamically hedged portfolio, enriched by the consideration of the structural break, exhibits superior performance in comparison to the static hedge portfolio. Additionally, it is discerned that the CSI 300 Index and Hang Seng Index, along with their spot and futures components, predominantly manifest in synchrony, with no clear indication of a consistent leader-lag relationship. An intensification of correlation is observed in the long-term analysis, underscoring the utility of the spot and futures of the two indices as efficacious hedging tools.

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This paper presents an investigation of traveling wave solutions and a sensitivity analysis for the unidirectional Dullin-Gottwald-Holm ($DGH$) system, a well-established model for wave propagation in shallow water. We apply the novel auxiliary equation method, a unique integration norm, to extract various soliton solutions, including kink, rational, bright, singular, and bright-singular solutions. Precise explicit solutions of the resultant ordinary differential equations are demonstrated using suitable parametric values. Furthermore, we explore the conditions that ensure the existence of these solutions. By applying the Galilean transformation, we convert the model into a planar dynamical system and evaluate its sensitivity performance. The selection of appropriate parameters enables the generation of two and three-dimensional sketches, as well as contour plots for each solution.
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