Acadlore takes over the publication of IJEI from 2025 Vol. 8, No. 5. The preceding volumes were published under a CC BY 4.0 license by the previous owner, and displayed here as agreed between Acadlore and the previous owner. ✯ : This issue/volume is not published by Acadlore.
Climate Change Induced Saltwater Intrusion and Migration Intentions in the Mekong Delta
Abstract:
This study uses the Theory of Planned Behavior to examine how saltwater intrusion information affects dry season migratory intentions in impacted areas. The study collected data from coastal communities in Ca Mau, Bac Lieu, Soc Trang, and Ben Tre using online and in-person questionnaires. The data that was gathered was then evaluated using Partial Least Square – structural equation modeling. The findings indicate that individual attitudes toward saltwater intrusion play a significant role in shaping their perception of its impact. Notably, there is a willingness to adapt. Although subjective norms are not yet clearly expressed, this factor influences salinity intrusion awareness, meaning that people actively monitor and apply adaptive solutions to respond to environmental changes. Moreover, perceived behavioral control directly influences migration intentions, suggesting that enhanced resilience and coping strategies could mitigate migration pressures. Government policies and infrastructure play a crucial moderating role by providing essential support and adaptations, which influence residents’ responses to environmental challenges. This study underscores the need for targeted governmental and community-focused interventions to enhance resilience and reduce migration driven by environmental stressors in the Mekong Delta, contributing to the broader discourse on climate change adaptation and community resilience.